GODLY PROFIT CASE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$33.26
52.39 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $29.07 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.14%
168 openings, odds method
Variance
5.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $1,069 1,684 HUNT_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $525 827 HUNT_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Immortal | 1 in 100 | $431 678 HUNT_COIN | 14.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 33 | $271 427 HUNT_COIN | 28.0% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.19× |
| M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)weapon · epic | 1 in 20 | $164 258 HUNT_COIN | 28.2% | 12 | 8.4 | 1.43× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 10.0% | $61.77 97.29 HUNT_COIN | 21.3% | 14 | 16.8 | 0.83× |
| Sticker | CT in Bananasticker · Rare | 80.8% | $0.83 1.31 HUNT_COIN | 2.3% | 134 | 135.7 | 0.99× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $33.26 | 87.38% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.2%Immortal 1.0%epic 5.0%covert knife 10.0%Rare 80.8%best hit —