Saint Amirey
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,327.49
2,091 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $1,148.28 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
136.60%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 12.5% | $3,471 5,466 HUNT_COIN | 37.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 12.5% | $2,597 4,091 HUNT_COIN | 28.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 15.0% | $1,543 2,430 HUNT_COIN | 20.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold | 15.0% | $1,048 1,651 HUNT_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| Sticker | Unicorn (Holo)sticker · Mythical | 45.0% | $2.43 3.82 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertDameTime$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$1,5432,430 HUNT_COIN1.16x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$1,5432,430 HUNT_COIN1.16x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$1,5432,430 HUNT_COIN1.16x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$1,5432,430 HUNT_COIN1.16x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertDameTime$1,3272,091 HUNT_COIN$2,5974,091 HUNT_COIN1.96x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,327 | 86.50% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 12.5%covert 27.5%gold 15.0%Mythical 45.0%best hit $2,597 (1.96x)