Baby Medusa
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$788.85
1,242 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $682.36 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.05%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $2,778 4,375 HUNT_COIN | 40.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary | 10.0% | $1,806 2,844 HUNT_COIN | 26.5% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 10.0% | $1,292 2,034 HUNT_COIN | 18.9% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $525 826 HUNT_COIN | 7.7% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| MAC-10 | Hot Snakes (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $250 394 HUNT_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| AWP | Snake Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $103 162 HUNT_COIN | 1.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high | 30.0% | $0.57 0.9 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · ExtraordinaryCalvin$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,2922,034 HUNT_COIN1.64x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,2922,034 HUNT_COIN1.64x
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN0.67x
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restrictedDameTime$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN0.67x
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN0.67x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN0.67x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,2922,034 HUNT_COIN1.64x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,2922,034 HUNT_COIN1.64x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · ExtraordinaryCalvin$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN0.09x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$7891,242 HUNT_COIN$1,8062,844 HUNT_COIN2.29x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $789 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 10.0%Extraordinary 10.0%extraordinary 10.0%restricted 10.0%classified 10.0%mil spec 10.0%Industrial Grade 10.0%high 30.0%best hit $1,806 (2.29x)