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1% Save The Balance

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.79
1.24 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.43%
EV $0.69 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.11%
807 openings, odds method
Variance
195.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 286
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
78 openings · below min
7 days
527 openings · below min
30 days
807 openings · below min
since tracking started
807 openings · below min
-0.5%201.3%403.0%

Small sample. 807 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7892.15%±310.2—odds
7d52758.33%±119.3—odds
30d80778.11%±96.4—odds
All80778.11%±96.4—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 807 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 20,000$1,160 1,827 HUNT_COIN8.4%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 6,667$324 511 HUNT_COIN7.1%00.1—
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 3,333$172 271 HUNT_COIN7.5%00.2—
AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 333$70.97 112 HUNT_COIN30.9%12.40.41×
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 400$55.61 87.59 HUNT_COIN20.2%32.01.49×
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 250$41.39 65.19 HUNT_COIN24.1%63.21.86×
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon24.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.4%191193.70.99×
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade25.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.5%221201.81.10×
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Common25.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.5%206201.81.02×
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer25.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.5%179201.80.89×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$70.97112 HUNT_COIN90.15x
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$55.6187.59 HUNT_COIN70.64x
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$55.6187.59 HUNT_COIN70.64x
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$55.6187.59 HUNT_COIN70.64x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rareEyMingh$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$41.3965.19 HUNT_COIN52.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Common$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Common$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerPUTO COCAINA$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Common$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.791.24 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.43%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.7987.43%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.0%gold 0.0%classified 0.3%covert 0.3%rare 0.4%other 24.0%Consumer Grade 25.0%Common 25.0%consumer 25.0%best hit $70.97 (90.15x)