JABAKAUSKIS123
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$38.60
60.8 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $33.73 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
15.63%
71 openings, odds method
Variance
42.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 137
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 71 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 71 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetPeitschenMeister$38.6060.8 HUNT_COIN$0.631 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $38.60 | 87.38% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.3%legendary 0.2%classified 0.1%gold 0.2%other 1.5%Covert 2.0%violet 93.8%best hit —