Poor To Rich
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.43
5.4 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.43%
EV $3.00 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.63%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$3.435.4 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN5.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.43%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.43 | 87.43% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedviolet 2.0%covert 4.0%classified 6.0%restricted 3.0%Legendary 2.0%pink 3.0%blue 30.0%other 20.0%#4b69ff 30.0%best hit —