15% Guranteed Gloves
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.56
18.2 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.34%
EV $10.09 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
43.25%
144 openings, odds method
Variance
20.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $1,160 1,827 HUNT_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 667 | $608 958 HUNT_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 400 | $333 524 HUNT_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 286 | $194 306 HUNT_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 90 | $96.95 153 HUNT_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 45 | $84.03 132 HUNT_COIN | 18.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 17 | $61.11 96.25 HUNT_COIN | 35.2% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 133 | 129.6 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerNopejustbot$11.5618.2 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.34%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.56 | 87.34% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 10.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —