10% KNIFE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$13.84
21.8 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.39%
EV $12.10 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
121.72%
291 openings, odds method
Variance
9.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 291 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal$13.8421.8 HUNT_COIN$226357 HUNT_COIN16.35x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covertDiabloPhD$13.8421.8 HUNT_COIN$111175 HUNT_COIN8.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.39%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.84 | 87.39% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 4.4%gold 0.0%covert 5.2%Immortal 0.4%High Grade 90.0%best hit —