3% creamer
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.44
11.72 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $6.50 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.58%
226 openings, odds method
Variance
28.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 226 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 226 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $339 534 HUNT_COIN | 52.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red | 1 in 100 | $193 304 HUNT_COIN | 29.7% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT_COIN | 17.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× |
| Sticker | Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare | 97.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 1.1% | 220 | 219.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$7.4411.72 HUNT_COIN$339534 HUNT_COIN45.54x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.44 | 87.37% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%red 1.0%industrial 1.0%Rare 97.0%best hit —