its always juice
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$15.62
24.6 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.65%
EV $13.85 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.59%
32 openings, sample method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 19:46 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.65%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 19:46 UTC | $15.62 | 88.65% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.0%classified 1.0%mil spec 1.0%restricted 1.0%Covert 6.0%industrial 2.0%consumer 5.0%Mythical 5.0%other 72.0%best hit —