Hustle House 1%
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.56
4.03 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $2.29 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.85%
252 openings, odds method
Variance
142.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 313
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 252 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 252 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 5,000 | $1,605 2,528 HUNT_COIN | 14.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $344 542 HUNT_COIN | 15.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $263 414 HUNT_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $222 350 HUNT_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $192 303 HUNT_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 1 in 172 | $161 254 HUNT_COIN | 40.8% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.5% | 249 | 249.5 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$2.564.03 HUNT_COIN$344542 HUNT_COIN134.5x
★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covertMacieja$2.564.03 HUNT_COIN$161254 HUNT_COIN62.97x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.56 | 89.48% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%consumer 99.0%best hit $344 (134.5x)