Hustle House 2%
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.07
7.98 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.55%
EV $4.54 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
62.84%
116 openings, odds method
Variance
67.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 42
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 116 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 116 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 2,000 | $1,194 1,881 HUNT_COIN | 13.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife | 1 in 2,000 | $827 1,303 HUNT_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $492 775 HUNT_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert | 1 in 500 | $285 448 HUNT_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 50 | $123 193 HUNT_COIN | 54.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× |
| Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common | 97.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 113 | 113.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · CommonMacieja$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · CommonMacieja$5.077.98 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.55%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.07 | 89.55% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 2.1%covert 0.1%Covert 0.2%Common 97.6%best hit —