Hustle House DDPAT
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.97
4.67 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.43%
EV $2.65 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
27.37%
386 openings, odds method
Variance
85.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 386 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 386 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $625 984 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 2,000 | $608 958 HUNT_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $514 809 HUNT_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 500 | $138 217 HUNT_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $61.68 97.14 HUNT_COIN | 46.5% | 5 | 7.7 | 0.65× |
| Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common | 97.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.5% | 381 | 376.7 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Commonosany$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Common$2.974.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.43%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.97 | 89.43% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%covert knife 0.2%restricted 2.0%Common 97.6%best hit —