Hustle House OG

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1.45

2.28 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

89.27%

EV $1.29 from 4 items

Observed RTP, 30d

79.68%

560 openings, odds method

Variance

336.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 167

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

99.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

18 openings · below min

7 days

296 openings · below min

30 days

560 openings · below min

since tracking started

560 openings · below min

-0.5%424.3%849.0%

Small sample. 560 openings and 3.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	18	0.88%±847.3	—	odds
7d	296	75.42%±209.0	—	odds
30d	560	79.68%±151.9	—	odds
All	560	79.68%±151.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 575 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert	1 in 10,000	$2,250 3,544 HUNT_COIN	17.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 1,111	$285 448 HUNT_COIN	19.8%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$160 252 HUNT_COIN	61.8%	4	2.9	1.39×
Sticker \| OG (Glitter)sticker	99.4%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	1.0%	571	571.5	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.