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novaisj

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$693.68
1,093 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.63%
36 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
36 openings · below min
since tracking started
36 openings · below min
33.5%93.5%153.5%

Small sample. 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3693.63%±59.4—sample
30d3693.63%±59.4—sample
All3693.63%±59.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,3335,250 HUNT_COIN4.81x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,3335,250 HUNT_COIN4.81x
Sticker | iBUYPOWERstickerDameTime$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,3185,225 HUNT_COIN4.78x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,1945,031 HUNT_COIN4.61x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo)stickerDameTime$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,1254,922 HUNT_COIN4.50x
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · Covert$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,0564,812 HUNT_COIN4.40x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$2,8754,528 HUNT_COIN4.14x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$3,1945,031 HUNT_COIN4.61x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedDameTime$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6941,093 HUNT_COIN$39.5862.34 HUNT_COIN0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,333 (4.81x)