Hustle House Crack Spam
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.77
18.54 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.36%
EV $10.28 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
17.87%
168 openings, odds method
Variance
205.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 168 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $12.8K 20,125 HUNT_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic | 1 in 3,333 | $4,035 6,354 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,667 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 1,000 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT_COIN | 13.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 1 in 500 | $849 1,338 HUNT_COIN | 16.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 286 | $492 775 HUNT_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 200 | $351 553 HUNT_COIN | 17.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 98.8% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 167 | 165.9 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.36%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.77 | 87.36% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.4%epic 0.0%covert knife 0.1%sunny 0.2%classified 0.5%other 98.8%best hit —