Hustle House Cracks Hit or poor
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.36
5.29 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.31%
EV $2.93 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
0.38%
70 openings, odds method
Variance
442.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 1,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 70 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 70 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary | 1 in 20,000 | $6,389 10,062 HUNT_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 9,091 | $3,653 5,753 HUNT_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 2,941 | $1,292 2,034 HUNT_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $708 1,116 HUNT_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife | 1 in 1,000 | $550 866 HUNT_COIN | 18.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 500 | $428 674 HUNT_COIN | 29.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker | 99.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 70 | 69.7 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.36 | 87.31% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.2%covert 0.1%other 99.7%best hit —