HustleHouse MAX POTENTIAL
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$13.12
20.66 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.67%
EV $11.63 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.22%
94 openings, odds method
Variance
817.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 2,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 94 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo)sticker | 1 in 10,000 | $31.9K 50,312 HUNT_COIN | 27.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo)sticker | 1 in 2,500 | $9,444 14,875 HUNT_COIN | 32.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 1,000 | $736 1,159 HUNT_COIN | 6.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 500 | $338 533 HUNT_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Souvenir XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · industrial | 1 in 50 | $111 175 HUNT_COIN | 19.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 97.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 91 | 91.7 | 0.99× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedDiabloPhD$13.1220.66 HUNT_COIN$7361,159 HUNT_COIN56.12x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.67%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.12 | 88.67% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 0.1%covert 0.3%restricted 0.1%industrial 2.0%consumer 97.6%best hit $736 (56.12x)