HustleHouse Greenhouse
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.95
23.54 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.87%
EV $13.13 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.49%
327 openings, odds method
Variance
95.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 327 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 327 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 2,000 | $4,167 6,562 HUNT_COIN | 15.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · epic | 1 in 222 | $1,667 2,625 HUNT_COIN | 57.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 67 | $146 230 HUNT_COIN | 16.7% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 22 | $29.23 46.03 HUNT_COIN | 10.0% | 15 | 14.7 | 1.02× |
| Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common | 93.5% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 308 | 305.7 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$14.9523.54 HUNT_COIN$4,1676,562 HUNT_COIN278.8x
Latest dropsnewest first
Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonPanden$14.9523.54 HUNT_COIN$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonDiabloPhD$14.9523.54 HUNT_COIN$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.95 | 87.87% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.6%epic 0.5%restricted 4.5%Common 93.5%best hit $4,167 (278.8x)