HustleHouse 1% Knives

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.05
4.81 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.40%
EV $2.70 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
147.39%
103 openings, odds method
Variance
461.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 476
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
83 openings · below min
30 days
103 openings · below min
since tracking started
103 openings · below min
-0.5%322.5%645.5%

Small sample. 103 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d83182.80%±462.3—odds
30d103147.39%±415.0—odds
All103147.39%±415.0—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$5,693 8,966 HUNT_COIN21.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 5,000$1,852 2,917 HUNT_COIN13.7%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 3,333$492 775 HUNT_COIN5.5%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 2,000$332 523 HUNT_COIN6.1%00.1—
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$280 441 HUNT_COIN10.4%00.1—
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 714$222 350 HUNT_COIN11.5%10.1—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 500$153 242 HUNT_COIN11.4%00.2—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 500$129 203 HUNT_COIN9.6%10.2—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 400$111 175 HUNT_COIN10.3%10.3—
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer99.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.5%100102.00.98×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$222350 HUNT_COIN72.74x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerPOSK$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$3.054.81 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.40%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$3.0588.40%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.9%covert knife 0.1%consumer 99.0%best hit $222 (72.74x)