ROTOS CASE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.06
0.09 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.48%
EV $0.05 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.57%
637 openings, odds method
Variance
28.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
96.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 637 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 20,000 | $23.26 36.64 HUNT_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Bosh (Holo)sticker · violet | 1 in 101 | $2.50 3.94 HUNT_COIN | 49.8% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.47× |
| Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff | 1 in 100 | $0.79 1.25 HUNT_COIN | 15.9% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| Sticker | Luck Skillsticker · 7 | 1 in 50 | $0.19 0.3 HUNT_COIN | 7.6% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| Sticker | Retro Zeussticker · Rare | 96.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 24.4% | 611 | 611.5 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.06 | 87.48% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed7 2.0%exotic 0.0%violet 1.0%#8847ff 1.0%Rare 96.0%best hit —