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2% Paradox Bang

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$418.63
659 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
449.54%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
-0.5%470.2%941.0%

Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d30449.54%±490.8—sample
30d30449.54%±490.8—sample
All30449.54%±490.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$419659 HUNT_COIN$18.8K29,640 HUNT_COIN44.95x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$419659 HUNT_COIN$18.8K29,640 HUNT_COIN44.95x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$419659 HUNT_COIN$18.8K29,640 HUNT_COIN44.95x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDameTime$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$419659 HUNT_COIN$18.8K29,640 HUNT_COIN44.95x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$419659 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $18.8K (44.95x)