10% Asiimov
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.37
16.33 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $9.06 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
69.26%
78 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 78 openings and 15.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic | 1 in 2,000 | $451 711 HUNT_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $312 492 HUNT_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 250 | $72.92 115 HUNT_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary | 1 in 250 | $54.72 86.19 HUNT_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert | 19.0% | $32.01 50.41 HUNT_COIN | 67.1% | 13 | 14.8 | 0.88× |
| P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified | 80.0% | $2.22 3.49 HUNT_COIN | 19.6% | 65 | 62.4 | 1.04× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covertIndia4life4416$10.3716.33 HUNT_COIN$32.0150.41 HUNT_COIN3.09x
P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedTerracidre$10.3716.33 HUNT_COIN$2.223.49 HUNT_COIN0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.37 | 87.37% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.1%covert 19.6%Legendary 0.4%classified 80.0%best hit —