Sticker Stacks
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.31
5.22 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.41%
EV $2.90 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.85%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
8.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | iBUYPOWERsticker | 1 in 1,000 | $208 328 HUNT_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo)sticker | 1 in 111 | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 21.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo)sticker | 1 in 13 | $8.53 13.44 HUNT_COIN | 22.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Sticker | Battle Scarred (Holo)sticker · Mythical | 10.0% | $7.49 11.79 HUNT_COIN | 25.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violet | 17.5% | $3.44 5.42 HUNT_COIN | 20.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.95× |
| Sticker | Hot Rod Heatsticker · #4b69ff | 64.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT_COIN | 2.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.41%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.31 | 87.41% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 8.5%Mythical 10.0%violet 17.5%#4b69ff 64.0%best hit —