Price
$0.26
0.41 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.80%
EV $0.23 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.84%
32 openings, odds method
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 32 openings and 16.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare | 50.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN | 68.1% | 14 | 16.0 | 0.88× |
| Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff | 50.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN | 31.9% | 18 | 16.0 | 1.13× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.80%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.26 | 87.80% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRare 50.0%#4b69ff 50.0%best hit —