Terminal 30%

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.23
0.36 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
85.56%
EV $0.20 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.37%
84 openings, odds method
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
84 openings · below min
30 days
84 openings · below min
since tracking started
84 openings · below min
71.5%79.3%87.0%

Small sample. 84 openings and 84.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d8479.37%±7.08—odds
30d8479.37%±7.08—odds
All8479.37%±7.08—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare30.0%$0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN47.7%1825.20.71×
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff70.0%$0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN52.3%6658.81.12×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN1.36x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ffSzafir skins.army$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN1.36x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN1.36x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ffSzafir skins.army$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare$0.230.36 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN1.36x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.56%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.2385.56%2
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedRare 30.0%#4b69ff 70.0%best hit —