money
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.31
17.82 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.39%
EV $9.89 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
46.40%
370 openings, odds method
Variance
33.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 370 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife$11.3117.82 HUNT_COIN$550866 HUNT_COIN48.62x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.39%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.31 | 87.39% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.6%other 81.2%extraordinary 1.2%covert knife 1.0%milspec 3.0%Legendary 5.0%violet 7.0%best hit $550 (48.62x)