77

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.02

0.03 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

67.33%

EV $0.01 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d

67.85%

1,016 openings, odds method

Variance

0.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

100.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

99.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

67.76%±1.18122 openings

7 days

67.81%±0.43931 openings

30 days

67.85%±0.411,016 openings

since tracking started

67.85%±0.411,016 openings

66.0%67.8%69.5%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 67.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (67.44% – 68.26%, 1,016 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	122	67.76%±1.18	+0.7σ	odds
7d	931	67.81%±0.43	+2.2σ	odds
30d	1,016	67.85%±0.41	+2.5σ	odds
All	1,016	67.85%±0.41	+2.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,016 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Apekssticker	1 in 100	$0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN	2.0%	18	10.2	1.77×
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	99.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	98.0%	998	1005.8	0.99×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Apekssticker$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN1.33x26m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDonMafia$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x26m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x26m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDonMafia$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x26m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeCip Jit$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x35m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeGiftedd$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x38m

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x2h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Gradeyoloman2003 CASEBATTLES.GG$0.020.03 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.67x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.02	67.33%	2

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 1.0%Consumer Grade 99.0%best hit —