DREAAM 5er stn242
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.83
9.19 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.70%
EV $5.18 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.97%
381 openings, odds method
Variance
156.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 90
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 381 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 381 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo)sticker | 1 in 10,000 | $6,667 10,500 HUNT_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 1 in 1,000 | $646 1,017 HUNT_COIN | 12.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife | 1 in 200 | $250 394 HUNT_COIN | 24.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $135 213 HUNT_COIN | 13.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 53 | $52.64 82.91 HUNT_COIN | 19.2% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $32.01 50.41 HUNT_COIN | 12.4% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× |
| Sticker | Lucky 13sticker · pink | 45.0% | $0.32 0.51 HUNT_COIN | 2.8% | 163 | 171.5 | 0.95× |
| Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Rare | 50.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN | 3.0% | 204 | 190.5 | 1.07× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$5.839.19 HUNT_COIN$6461,017 HUNT_COIN110.7x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.70%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.83 | 88.70% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 0.0%Classified 0.1%covert knife 0.5%covert 4.4%pink 45.0%Rare 50.0%best hit $646 (110.7x)