Price
$36.27
57.12 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $31.69 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.87%
737 openings, odds method
Variance
9.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 737 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covertHobbi3ten$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$1,1111,750 HUNT_COIN30.64x
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$1,1111,750 HUNT_COIN30.64x
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$1,1111,750 HUNT_COIN30.64x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$8271,303 HUNT_COIN22.81x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$8271,303 HUNT_COIN22.81x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$8271,303 HUNT_COIN22.81x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$8271,303 HUNT_COIN22.81x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir G3SG1 | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · CommonDiabloPhD$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$0.330.52 HUNT_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil specLeva_alt2$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$33.0652.07 HUNT_COIN0.91x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$36.2757.12 HUNT_COIN$33.0652.07 HUNT_COIN0.91x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.27 | 87.38% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 19.5%covert knife 0.5%restricted 5.0%mil spec 10.0%pink 15.0%Common 15.0%blue 15.0%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit $1,111 (30.64x)