Wingman

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$8.43

13.27 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

88.70%

EV $7.47 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

81.09%

399 openings, odds method

Variance

4.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 15

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

20 openings · below min

7 days

78.38%±23.17325 openings

30 days

81.09%±20.91399 openings

since tracking started

81.09%±20.91399 openings

-0.5%92.3%185.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	20	91.09%±93.4	—	odds
7d	325	78.38%±23.2	−0.9σ	odds
30d	399	81.09%±20.9	−0.7σ	odds
All	399	81.09%±20.9	−0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 399 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$111 175 HUNT_COIN	14.9%	3	4.0	0.75×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 50	$62.22 98 HUNT_COIN	16.7%	6	8.0	0.75×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 29	$44.44 70 HUNT_COIN	20.8%	22	14.0	1.58×
M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 29	$39.86 62.78 HUNT_COIN	18.7%	7	14.0	0.50×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare	1 in 20	$30.83 48.56 HUNT_COIN	20.6%	16	20.0	0.80×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 20	$10.43 16.42 HUNT_COIN	7.0%	22	20.0	1.10×
M4A4 \| Steel Work (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9	15.0%	$0.32 0.51 HUNT_COIN	0.6%	54	59.8	0.90×
AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9	15.0%	$0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN	0.3%	52	59.8	0.87×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade	25.0%	$0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN	0.3%	115	99.8	1.15×
AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	25.0%	$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN	0.2%	102	99.8	1.02×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial GradeLEZAS$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.01x10h

AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.02x10h

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.01x10h

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$30.8348.56 HUNT_COIN3.66x10h

AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.02x10h

M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$39.8662.78 HUNT_COIN4.73x10h

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.01x13h

M4A4 | Steel Work (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.320.51 HUNT_COIN0.04x13h

AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.01x13h

AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$8.4313.27 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.02x13h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.70%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$8.43	88.70%	10

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 1.0%Covert 2.0%restricted 3.5%covert 3.5%rare 5.0%Classified 5.0%#5e98d9 30.0%Industrial Grade 25.0%industrial 25.0%best hit —