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Warfare

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$63.70
100 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.67%
EV $56.48 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.10%
127 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
65 openings · below min
30 days
96.10%±41.96127 openings
since tracking started
96.10%±41.96127 openings
48.5%107.7%167.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d65107.78%±58.7—odds
30d12796.10%±42.0+0.3σodds
All12796.10%±42.0+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 127 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$972 1,531 HUNT_COIN17.2%31.32.36×
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 67$708 1,116 HUNT_COIN18.8%11.90.52×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 40$403 634 HUNT_COIN17.8%43.21.26×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 40$362 571 HUNT_COIN16.0%13.20.31×
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 40$271 427 HUNT_COIN12.0%33.20.94×
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 22$97.23 153 HUNT_COIN7.7%85.71.40×
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 13$54.44 85.75 HUNT_COIN7.2%69.50.63×
SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted10.0%$6.85 10.79 HUNT_COIN1.2%1812.71.42×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec13.0%$3.75 5.91 HUNT_COIN0.9%1816.51.09×
Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violet15.0%$3.44 5.42 HUNT_COIN0.9%1719.10.89×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec20.0%$0.34 0.54 HUNT_COIN0.1%2325.40.91×
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare20.0%$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.0%2525.40.98×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$9721,531 HUNT_COIN15.26x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$9721,531 HUNT_COIN15.26x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$9721,531 HUNT_COIN15.26x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$7081,116 HUNT_COIN11.12x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$6.8510.79 HUNT_COIN0.11x
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violet$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$3.445.42 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violetPeitschenMeister$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$3.445.42 HUNT_COIN0.05x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$0.340.54 HUNT_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Raredwiauhdas$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$0.340.54 HUNT_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.00x
SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$63.70100 HUNT_COIN$6.8510.79 HUNT_COIN0.11x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.67%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$63.7088.67%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 11.0%covert 6.5%knifes 4.5%restricted 10.0%milspec 13.0%violet 15.0%mil spec 20.0%Rare 20.0%best hit $972 (15.26x)