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Sawed Off

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.17
8.14 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.66%
EV $4.58 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
142.96%
30 openings, odds method
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
53.0%143.0%233.0%

Small sample. 30 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d30142.96%±89.3—odds
30d30142.96%±89.3—odds
All30142.96%±89.3—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 50$69.44 109 HUNT_COIN30.3%10.6—
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 33$45.14 71.1 HUNT_COIN29.6%30.9—
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20$24.01 37.81 HUNT_COIN26.2%01.50.00×
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 13$2.01 3.17 HUNT_COIN3.3%12.30.44×
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrial1 in 13$1.37 2.16 HUNT_COIN2.2%12.30.44×
Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Well-Worn)weapon · violet10.0%$1.25 1.97 HUNT_COIN2.7%23.00.67×
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade15.0%$1.23 1.93 HUNT_COIN4.0%64.51.33×
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec25.0%$0.29 0.46 HUNT_COIN1.6%127.51.60×
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common25.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.1%47.50.53×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$1.372.16 HUNT_COIN0.27x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.290.46 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$1.231.93 HUNT_COIN0.24x
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specMacieja$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.290.46 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$1.231.93 HUNT_COIN0.24x
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$0.290.46 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$5.178.14 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN13.44x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.66%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$5.1788.66%9
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedIndustrial Grade 17.0%#eb4b4b 3.0%classified 12.5%industrial 7.5%violet 10.0%mil spec 25.0%Common 25.0%best hit —