Private Jet
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.81
17.02 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $9.44 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.80%
423 openings, odds method
Variance
43.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 423 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 423 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $708 1,116 HUNT_COIN | 75.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $76.04 120 HUNT_COIN | 8.1% | 10 | 4.2 | 2.36× |
| USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · red | 1 in 100 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT_COIN | 6.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $48.33 76.12 HUNT_COIN | 5.1% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $29.03 45.73 HUNT_COIN | 3.1% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $7.98 12.57 HUNT_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare | 1 in 100 | $4.17 6.57 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff | 93.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN | 1.4% | 393 | 393.4 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$10.8117.02 HUNT_COIN$7081,116 HUNT_COIN65.55x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$10.8117.02 HUNT_COIN$7081,116 HUNT_COIN65.55x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$10.8117.02 HUNT_COIN$7081,116 HUNT_COIN65.55x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covertHobbi3ten$10.8117.02 HUNT_COIN$7081,116 HUNT_COIN65.55x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.81 | 87.37% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.0%restricted 2.0%red 1.0%mil spec 1.0%Rare 1.0%#4b69ff 93.0%best hit $708 (65.55x)