PH 5% benger
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.43
8.56 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $4.83 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
35.70%
207 openings, odds method
Variance
21.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 207 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 207 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 1 in 500 | $324 510 HUNT_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary | 1 in 333 | $208 328 HUNT_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $137 215 HUNT_COIN | 28.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested)weapon · pink | 1 in 50 | $65.97 104 HUNT_COIN | 27.3% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.72× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 67 | $54.17 85.32 HUNT_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial | 95.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 1.2% | 202 | 196.6 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.43 | 88.91% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.2%Legendary 0.3%covert 2.5%pink 2.0%industrial 95.0%best hit —