Price
$6.34
9.98 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.35%
EV $5.54 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
46.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
13.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Lotus (Glitter)sticker · remarkable | 17.0% | $6.43 10.12 HUNT_COIN | 19.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Tornado (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial | 29.5% | $6.41 10.09 HUNT_COIN | 34.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | snow (Gold)sticker | 20.0% | $6.39 10.07 HUNT_COIN | 23.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $6.36 10.02 HUNT_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 1 in 22 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 1 in 33 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 1 in 33 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 1 in 33 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.34 | 87.35% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 17.0%industrial 29.5%other 20.0%restricted 20.0%consumer 10.5%Consumer Grade 3.0%