10% Everz

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.61
18.29 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $10.15 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
16.11%
17 openings, odds method
Variance
30.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
17 openings · below min
since tracking started
17 openings · below min
-0.5%168.0%336.5%

Small sample. 17 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1222.78%±312.9—odds
30d1716.11%±262.9—odds
All1716.11%±262.9—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 1,000$1,389 2,187 HUNT_COIN13.7%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 71$392 618 HUNT_COIN54.1%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 67$69.44 109 HUNT_COIN10.3%00.3—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 14$31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN21.8%11.20.84×
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer90.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.1%1615.31.05×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerIndia4life4416$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$31.6149.78 HUNT_COIN2.72x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$11.6187.38%5
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.1%covert 2.9%Ancient 7.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —