Everz10%
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.61
18.29 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $10.15 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
662.86%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
30.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 1,000 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 71 | $392 618 HUNT_COIN | 54.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 67 | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 14 | $31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN | 21.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN5.98x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerKirua$11.6118.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.61 | 87.38% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.1%covert 2.9%Ancient 7.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —