Silver Strat

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.45

0.71 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

85.96%

EV $0.39 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d

85.73%

2,607 openings, odds method

Variance

9.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 10

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

66.90%±56.21112 openings

7 days

90.82%±12.852,143 openings

30 days

85.73%±11.652,607 openings

since tracking started

85.73%±11.652,607 openings

10.0%67.0%124.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	112	66.90%±56.2	−0.7σ	odds
7d	2,143	90.82%±12.9	+0.7σ	odds
30d	2,607	85.73%±11.7	−0.0σ	odds
All	2,607	85.73%±11.7	−0.0σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,607 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
P2000 \| Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,000	$31.87 50.2 HUNT_COIN	8.2%	3	2.6	1.15×
Souvenir MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial	1 in 250	$12.20 19.22 HUNT_COIN	12.6%	9	10.4	0.86×
CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 200	$4.31 6.79 HUNT_COIN	5.6%	8	13.0	0.61×
Sticker \| Silver (Foil)sticker · exotic	1 in 11	$1.40 2.21 HUNT_COIN	32.6%	252	234.6	1.07×
Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11	$1.21 1.91 HUNT_COIN	28.2%	233	234.6	0.99×
MAC-10 \| Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue	10.0%	$0.27 0.43 HUNT_COIN	7.0%	268	260.7	1.03×
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	71.0%	$0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN	5.8%	1,834	1851.0	0.99×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil specMaltael$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$31.8750.2 HUNT_COIN70.70x1d

P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$31.8750.2 HUNT_COIN70.70x1d

P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil specMaltael$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$31.8750.2 HUNT_COIN70.70x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.07x10m

MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.270.43 HUNT_COIN0.61x10m

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.07x10m

MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.270.43 HUNT_COIN0.61x10m

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.07x10m

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil specSr.Calavera$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$1.211.91 HUNT_COIN2.69x10m

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.07x10m

Sticker | Silver (Foil)sticker · exotic$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$1.402.21 HUNT_COIN3.11x10m

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.450.71 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.07x10m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.45	85.96%	7

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 9.1%Industrial 0.4%#87c7ff 0.5%exotic 9.0%light blue 10.0%#B0C3D9 71.0%best hit $31.87 (70.70x)