Hunter1
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.19
3.45 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.58%
EV $1.94 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
7.54%
235 openings, odds method
Variance
1277.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 5,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 235 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialDiabloPhD$2.193.45 HUNT_COIN$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN0.08x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialLeva_alt2$2.193.45 HUNT_COIN$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN0.08x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialTrevor Lett$2.193.45 HUNT_COIN$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.58%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.19 | 88.58% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%other 0.0%covert knife 0.0%legendary 0.0%classified 0.0%restricted 0.0%Classified 0.0%rare 0.0%industrial 99.9%best hit —