Hunt Viben 5% v2

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$21.16

33.32 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.37%

EV $18.48 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d

93.40%

256 openings, odds method

Variance

19.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 59

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

60 openings · below min

30 days

256 openings · below min

since tracking started

256 openings · below min

36.0%496.2%956.5%

Small sample. 256 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	602.35%±353.3	—	odds
7d	60	148.32%±111.7	—	odds
30d	256	93.40%±54.1	—	odds
All	256	93.40%±54.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 256 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 125	$764 1,203 HUNT_COIN	33.1%	2	2.0	0.98×
Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 250	$556 875 HUNT_COIN	12.0%	2	1.0	1.95×
★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$486 766 HUNT_COIN	13.1%	1	1.3	0.78×
★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 167	$333 524 HUNT_COIN	10.8%	2	1.5	1.30×
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B	1 in 125	$313 492 HUNT_COIN	13.5%	2	2.0	0.98×
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 167	$222 350 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	1	1.5	0.65×
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 167	$162 255 HUNT_COIN	5.2%	1	1.5	0.65×
AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 143	$111 175 HUNT_COIN	4.2%	2	1.8	1.12×
Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	95.0%	$0.15 0.24 HUNT_COIN	0.8%	243	243.2	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$7641,203 HUNT_COIN36.10x14h

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$7641,203 HUNT_COIN36.10x7d

Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$556875 HUNT_COIN26.26x5d

Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$556875 HUNT_COIN26.26x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.01x14h

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$7641,203 HUNT_COIN36.10x14h

Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.01x14h

Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specDiabloPhD$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.01x14h

Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specDiabloPhD$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.01x1d

Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$21.1633.32 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.01x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$21.16	87.37%	9

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 1.9%classified 0.4%#EB4B4B 0.8%covert knife 1.2%industrial 0.7%mil spec 95.0%best hit $764 (36.10x)