11% EzPz

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$2.36

3.71 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.46%

EV $2.06 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d

75.10%

340 openings, odds method

Variance

7.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 25

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

84.27%±33.01280 openings

30 days

75.10%±29.95340 openings

since tracking started

75.10%±29.95340 openings

-0.5%154.8%310.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	84.05%±225.5	—	odds
7d	280	84.27%±33.0	−0.2σ	odds
30d	340	75.10%±30.0	−0.8σ	odds
All	340	75.10%±30.0	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 340 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 50	$33.26 52.39 HUNT_COIN	32.3%	5	6.8	0.74×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 50	$29.17 45.95 HUNT_COIN	28.3%	7	6.8	1.03×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 29	$11.82 18.61 HUNT_COIN	20.1%	8	11.9	0.67×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 29	$11.04 17.39 HUNT_COIN	18.8%	12	11.9	1.01×
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	89.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.5%	308	302.6	1.02×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x23h

USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$11.8218.61 HUNT_COIN5.02x23h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x23h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeMomaaa @bandit$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x23h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x1d

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeNopejustbot$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x1d

USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink$2.363.71 HUNT_COIN$29.1745.95 HUNT_COIN12.39x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.46%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$2.36	87.46%	5

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.0%pink 2.0%red 3.5%classified 3.5%Consumer Grade 89.0%best hit —