11% EzPz Reversed

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$2.81

4.42 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.51%

EV $2.46 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d

31.07%

79 openings, odds method

Variance

7.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 17

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

79 openings · below min

30 days

79 openings · below min

since tracking started

79 openings · below min

-0.5%78.0%156.5%

Small sample. 79 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	0.45%±155.2	—	odds
7d	79	31.07%±60.5	—	odds
30d	79	31.07%±60.5	—	odds
All	79	31.07%±60.5	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 79 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 33	$33.26 52.39 HUNT_COIN	40.6%	1	2.4	0.42×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 33	$29.17 45.95 HUNT_COIN	35.6%	0	2.4	0.00×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 40	$11.82 18.61 HUNT_COIN	12.0%	2	2.0	1.01×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 40	$11.04 17.39 HUNT_COIN	11.2%	1	2.0	0.51×
Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common	89.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.5%	75	70.3	1.07×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.