TraumA Mini Win
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.32
0.51 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.76%
EV $0.28 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.98%
66 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 66 openings and 21.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 66 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Welcome to the Clutchsticker · high | 12.0% | $0.76 1.2 HUNT_COIN | 32.2% | 7 | 7.9 | 0.88× |
| Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet | 20.0% | $0.63 1 HUNT_COIN | 44.7% | 16 | 13.2 | 1.21× |
| Sticker | Counter-Techsticker · Rare | 30.0% | $0.20 0.32 HUNT_COIN | 21.4% | 19 | 19.8 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker | 38.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 1.7% | 24 | 25.1 | 0.96× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Counter-Techsticker · RareMonesy With Arthritis$0.320.51 HUNT_COIN$0.200.32 HUNT_COIN0.63x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetSzafir skins.army$0.320.51 HUNT_COIN$0.631 HUNT_COIN1.96x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.76%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.32 | 87.76% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 12.0%violet 20.0%Rare 30.0%other 38.0%best hit —