30 Streak
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.64
1.01 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.87%
EV $0.56 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.28%
471 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 471 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Lucky 13 (Foil)sticker · Exotic | 1 in 100 | $9.03 14.23 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| Sticker | Kimberlysticker · Rare | 1 in 25 | $1.86 2.93 HUNT_COIN | 13.2% | 20 | 18.8 | 1.06× |
| Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $1.61 2.53 HUNT_COIN | 28.5% | 44 | 47.1 | 0.93× |
| AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare | 15.0% | $1.14 1.8 HUNT_COIN | 30.4% | 72 | 70.6 | 1.02× |
| Sticker | Fly Highsticker · #4b69ff | 70.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 329 | 329.7 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.64 | 87.87% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExotic 1.0%Rare 19.0%restricted 10.0%#4b69ff 70.0%best hit —