M4A1S Blue Hunt

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$55.19
86.92 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
178.29%
10 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
4 openings · below min
30 days
10 openings · below min
since tracking started
10 openings · below min
-0.5%195.3%391.0%

Small sample. 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d4146.51%±141.0—sample
30d10178.29%±212.2—sample
All10178.29%±212.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$55.1986.92 HUNT_COIN$610960 HUNT_COIN11.05x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$55.1986.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$55.1986.92 HUNT_COIN$25.3839.98 HUNT_COIN0.46x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$55.1986.92 HUNT_COIN$148233 HUNT_COIN2.68x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $610 (11.05x)