Price
$2.17
3.42 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.99%
EV $1.89 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.46%
512 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 512 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 400 | $23.49 36.99 HUNT_COIN | 3.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.56× |
| Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 400 | $15.35 24.18 HUNT_COIN | 2.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 400 | $12.69 19.98 HUNT_COIN | 1.7% | 5 | 1.3 | 3.91× |
| Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 400 | $8.48 13.36 HUNT_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 25 | $5.72 9.01 HUNT_COIN | 12.1% | 14 | 20.5 | 0.68× |
| CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $3.82 6.02 HUNT_COIN | 20.2% | 49 | 51.2 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Team Kinguinsticker | 15.0% | $3.49 5.49 HUNT_COIN | 27.7% | 73 | 76.8 | 0.95× |
| Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)weapon · violet | 10.0% | $2.77 4.37 HUNT_COIN | 14.7% | 57 | 51.2 | 1.11× |
| Sticker | All Hail the King (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6 | 60.0% | $0.55 0.86 HUNT_COIN | 17.3% | 310 | 307.2 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$2.173.42 HUNT_COIN$3.826.02 HUNT_COIN1.76x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.17 | 86.99% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%restricted 4.3%mil spec 0.3%classified 10.0%other 15.0%violet 10.0%#d32ce6 60.0%best hit —