3% HUGE RED
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.32
35.16 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $19.51 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.98%
285 openings, odds method
Variance
160.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 285 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 285 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$22.3235.16 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN47.07x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $22.32 | 87.38% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 0.0%knifes 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%covert 1.6%covert knife 1.3%Rare 97.0%best hit $1,051 (47.07x)