Vice Hunt
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.29
27.23 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $15.10 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
16.32%
56 openings, odds method
Variance
135.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 56 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000 | $18.8K 29,640 HUNT_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 526 | $1,160 1,827 HUNT_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 125 | $358 565 HUNT_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary | 1 in 100 | $292 459 HUNT_COIN | 19.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $182 286 HUNT_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $158 249 HUNT_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| AWP | Crakow! (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 100 | $123 193 HUNT_COIN | 8.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Sticker | BukAWPsticker · #4b69ff | 95.0% | $0.64 1.01 HUNT_COIN | 4.0% | 55 | 53.2 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.29 | 87.37% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.2%covert 0.8%legendary 1.0%classified 2.0%rare 1.0%#4b69ff 95.0%best hit —