B2K KAPSULEEE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$33.34
52.51 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $29.13 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.99%
34 openings, odds method
Variance
20.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 34 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo)sticker | 1 in 1,000 | $3,125 4,922 HUNT_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Team LDLC.comsticker | 1 in 1,000 | $1,511 2,380 HUNT_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband | 1 in 1,000 | $1,040 1,638 HUNT_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | LGB eSportssticker | 1 in 500 | $694 1,094 HUNT_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sticker | ScreaM (Gold)sticker | 1 in 200 | $694 1,094 HUNT_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $525 826 HUNT_COIN | 18.0% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $453 713 HUNT_COIN | 15.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $324 510 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $186 292 HUNT_COIN | 19.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| Sticker | OG (Glitter)sticker | 93.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 31 | 31.6 | 0.98× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$33.3452.51 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN15.74x
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$33.3452.51 HUNT_COIN$525826 HUNT_COIN15.74x
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$33.3452.51 HUNT_COIN$186292 HUNT_COIN5.57x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $33.34 | 87.38% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 93.9%contraband 0.1%restricted 2.0%classified 1.0%mil spec 3.0%best hit $525 (15.74x)